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DTN Midday Grain Comments 04/16 10:51
Wheat, Soybean Futures Higher at Midday Thursday; Corn Mixed
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday Thursday; soybean futures are 1 to
2 cents higher; wheat futures are 15 to 25 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday Thursday; soybean futures are 1 to
2 cents higher; wheat futures are 15 to 25 cents higher. The U.S. stock market
is mixed at midday with the S&P 13 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index is 20
points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is firmer
with crude up 2.15 and natural gas up .04. Livestock trade is mostly lower.
Precious metals are mixed with gold up 9.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are narrowly mixed with softer spread action as we struggle to
extend Wednesday's gains so far. Ethanol margins should remain strong in the
short term as unleaded holds the upper end of the range. Weekly export sales
were solid at 1.401 million metric tons (mmt). Basis likely continues to hold
the recent range. Planting progress should pick up in many areas with rains
confined to the central part of the Corn Belt. On the May chart, resistance is
the 20-day moving average at $4.55 with the lower Bollinger Band at $4.39.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 1 to 2 cents higher with oil leading the product complex
as we continue to trade at nearby resistance levels with the overall recent
range continuing. Meal is 2.00 to 3.00 lower and oil is 160 to 170 points
higher. South America should continue to push through remaining harvest. Basis
is expected to remain flat in the short term. Weekly sales poor at 247,900
metric tons (mt) old crop; 254,200 of meal; and 1,100 of oil. Early soybean
planting should continue in many areas as well with the middle of the belt
staying wetter. On the May contract chart, resistance is $11.65 where we find
the 20-day moving average, which we are testing at midday with the Lower
Bollinger Band at $11.30 as support.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 15 to 25 cents higher at midday with KC trade getting back
close to the recent highs as weather concerns pull in fresh buying. Weather for
the Plains looks to keep the west warm and drier this week with the second week
showing some better potential. Matif wheat is firmer, but not near the move for
U.S. contracts. Weekly export sales were lackluster with 103,300 mt of old crop
and 131,000 mt of new. Black sea area weather is expected to stay stable in the
short term. On the KC May chart support is the 20-day moving average at $6.13,
which we moved back through Wednesday with the Upper Bollinger Band at $6.41 as
resistance, which we are solidly above at midday.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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